The August releases have been less impressive performers as regards their second weekends, with none of them approaching the figures for the top tier early summer films such as Up and The Hangover. District 9's second weekend is a bit inflated due to a low Sunday drop estimate, but the film's drop, either way, is quite reasonable all things considered. I do not expect Inglourious Basterds to match it next weekend.
Sunday, August 23, 2009
Top Second Weekends 2009
Biggest Opening Weekends of 2009 (Thus Far)
My apologies for the lack of updates recently. Let's get going again.
August 2009 has thus far been very impressive, giving us, in District 9's and Inglourious Basterds' openings, two very strong weekends and in G.I. Joes's and Julie & Julia's two very good figures as well. All four openers rank in the top 40 for this year, with the former 3 in the top 20.
As far as admissions go:
1 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen 14,825,348
2 X-Men Origins: Wolverine 11,572,517
3 Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince 10,589,895
4 Star Trek 10,231,876
5 Fast and Furious 9,653,129
6 Up 9,266,502
7 Monsters Vs. Aliens 8,070,897
8 Watchmen 7,512,154
9 G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra 7,443,952
10 Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian 7,370,515
11 Angels & Demons 6,286,281
12 The Hangover 6,119,635
13 Terminator Salvation 5,790,257
14 Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs 5,672,161
15 Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail 5,582,442
16 Friday the 13th (2009) 5,519,778
17 Inglourious Basterds 5,115,918
18 District 9 5,082,219
19 The Proposal 4,575,183
20 Hannah Montana The Movie 4,397,889
Monday, August 10, 2009
Preliminary Predictions for the Upcoming Weekend
Just a few quick thoughts:
I'm going safe with G.I. Joe and predicting $25m. If that is safe. I suspect it could drop just 50% and end up around $27m, but I'm not willing to give it that at this moment.
District 9 has been marketed terrifically, in my opinion. I found the trailer to be very effective. I could see a high-20s opening for it. Let's say $27-8m for now.
I'm very bullish on The Time Traveler's Wife. The book has been a wild success for years, and it's main demographic-basically, women-continues to be underrated at the box office. The theatre count is low, yes, but I do wonder if mid-30s is attainable. I suspect this is just hyperbole speaking right now, so I'll probably lower it to $30-32m, and go with that.
Whatever the case, we're going to have a strong weekend ahead.
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